Greater Productivity: Smaller GDP |
The issue is not very new. The debate about whether the
technological advancements will create unemployment has been going on since the
time of Aristotle. Yet somehow I can’t see how could any economists deny that
when the work done by humans would start to being done by machines, the humans
will have no or reduced work to do.
I’ve even found some arguments that were economically
theorized beyond the practical feasibility. Well this matter is of a deep
nature and so requires such concern. So, let’s examine the available arguments
carefully & try to answer them. Somebody recently pointed out to me that we
should rather focus on the long term effects than the immediate ones of the
technological advancements. The immediate ones, he said were the reduction in demand
of labour, which no one could dispute. But then he said, after a period the
employment would again rise. Now this is the point I don’t agree with.
First I will tell you why some economists think that the
long term employment will increase with the increase in technological
advancements. They will first give you the example of some technologically
advanced countries today and show that how the people there are satisfactorily
employed. Then in theory they will tell you that the reason behind this is because
with the technological advancements the need of labour to produce, mantle and
repair machines will increase & so will the employment opportunities.
Men working in the presence of technology |
Well, that is a good argument. But if you also considered it
a sound argument, then either you are not an economics’ student or you’ve
already forgotten to analyze and think.
The theoretical facet of this argument is rather a childish
one. If the labour costs reduced by employing the machines were lower than the
maintenance costs of those machines, do you think the elite entrepreneurs would
even consider the technology for their production. No, they would do everything
manually. Time, quality, etc. are some factors that could make us choose
technology over labour but never at the cost of our profitability. So now
basically, if the machines aren’t eradicating all the labour force, they are at
least reducing them.
Now, about the examples of the technologically advanced
countries that they are showing us. Let’s see China. Yes, I agree that the
employment there also increased with
the technological advancement but not due
to the technological advancement. The main reason for their increasing work
force is the unproductive population of the rest of the countries. Yes, that’s
it. It’s like saying that china developed because other countries degraded.
Well, face this fact because this is the only ultimate truth of the Global
Economics.
So, until & unless we could be assured that whatever
comes out of such advancements will be fairly distributed or otherwise that our
current living standards would not be compromised for these technological
advancements, we will keep protesting and criticizing the unequal advancements,
but we will criticize gently. We are Gentle Critics!!!
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